Strategic grain reserve, days of buffer

What this is not

Almost every serious error in operational data is a category error rather than an arithmetic one. These are the things this indicator shares a unit with and must never be combined with.

• Commercial warehouse stock, which excludes reserved humanitarian tonnage and which a second source puts far lower.
• Retail shelf availability.

How current a reading has to be

Current within 30 days, usable within 120 days, measured against the 2026-09-23 build rather than against the time you read this page. A static deployment cannot re-age itself, so the build date is the honest anchor.

Flood-defence freeboard and border dwell times respond to rainfall and staffing within weeks. A month-old reading is a fair description of present conditions; a four-month-old one is not.

Readings held (1)

• 45 days — observed 2026-08-12, 42 days before the 2026-09-23 build
  Source: Ministry of Agriculture & Food Security Gazette · National & Central Equatoria (named only — no coordinate held) · Aging · DISPUTED · evidence ev-00495
  As the source states it: “45 Days Buffer (38,000 Metric Tons)”
  Another source makes an incompatible claim about this subject. Both positions are published and neither is preferred.

What SSIP says about it

• Strategic grain reserve, days of buffer: 45 days, recorded 2026-08-12 by Ministry of Agriculture & Food Security Gazette. Past this indicator's 30-day currency window (42 days old as of 2026-09-23); usable with its date shown.
  Rule: Take the most recent dated observation bound to this indicator and classify its age against the indicator's own freshness policy (30 days current, 120 days usable — Flood-defence freeboard and border dwell times respond to rainfall and staffing within weeks. A month-old reading is a fair description of present conditions; a four-month-old one is not.).
  Does not establish: That the condition still holds today. This is the most recent reading SSIP holds, not a statement about 2026-09-23. Commercial warehouse stock, which excludes reserved humanitarian tonnage and which a second source puts far lower.
• National Strategic Food Grain Reserve Buffer in Urban Silos: Ministry of Agriculture & Food Security Gazette records 45 Days Buffer (38,000 Metric Tons), WFP / FEWS NET Joint Market Assessment & Grain Syndicate records 11.4 Days Commercial Buffer. The register attributes the divergence to: "Government figures combine humanitarian aid prepositioning for conflict-affected displaced persons with open commercial retail food stocks, whereas urban markets rely entirely on commercial private inventory."
  Rule: Publish both positions from the contradiction register with their own sources and dates, and carry the register's stated root cause. SSIP does not choose between them and does not average them.
  Does not establish: Which figure is correct. The register records these as measuring different things on different bases; where that is so, both can be right and neither answers the other's question.

What SSIP does not hold

• One dated statement, recorded because a commercial audit disagrees with it.

How to read this

Every figure on this page carries an evidence state — Verified, Operational, Announced, Estimated, Inferred, Disputed, Simulated, Reference or Unavailable — and each state has a stated definition. SSIP does not present an estimate as an observation, and it does not record a missing value as zero.

Read the methodology · Open the evidence ledger · See declared gaps

Related

All operational indicators · Operating picture · Coverage · Recorded changes · Evidence ledger

Cite, check and correct

Cite as: “Strategic grain reserve, days of buffer”. Strategic Systems Intelligence. https://ssintelligence.online/indicators/food-reserve-strategic-days. Last updated 2026-08-12. Carry the evidence state with any figure you quote.

Methodology · Sources · Corrections — if a record here is wrong, the corrections log is where it is fixed in public.