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Strategic Systems Intelligence · SSIP

Trade, Markets & Supply Chains

4 evidence records SSIP holds for Trade, Markets & Supply Chains — sector coverage across 3 datasets, each with its source, date and evidence state.

What SSIP holds for Trade, Markets & Supply Chains

  • 4 evidence records
  • 2 carry a recorded value; 2 do not
  • 1 are declared gaps — recorded absences, which are findings in their own right
  • Evidence states present: 1 UNAVAILABLE, 3 DISPUTED
  • Drawn from 3 datasets: national.dataGaps, national.contradictions, national.contradictionClaims

This is what SSIP holds, not a claim about what exists. Coverage is concentrated in Juba, Central Equatoria and the Nimule and Nile corridors; outside that scope the corpus is thin.

Evidence records

  • Informal Cross-Border Livestock Trade Volumes with Sudan (Cattle & Goats) — SSIP does not hold Informal Cross-Border Livestock Trade Volumes with Sudan (Cattle & Goats) for Northern Bahr el Ghazal & Warrap. This is a recorded absence, not a value of zero.
    Value: Not held. This is a recorded absence, not a value of zero.
    Evidence state: UNAVAILABLE (Not asserted: no source locator (reference, URL or publisher), no date, no confidence, no review by a named person.) · Confidence: INSUFFICIENT
    Source: SSIP gap register · Date not recorded
    Method: Livestock caravans cross unofficial porous border corridors without veterinary inspection posts or customs logging.
  • Nimule One-Stop Border Post (OSBP) Customs Revenue Clearance — Two sources make incompatible claims about Nimule One-Stop Border Post (OSBP) Customs Revenue Clearance. SSIP records both positions and resolves neither.
    Value: Not held. This is a recorded absence, not a value of zero.
    Evidence state: DISPUTED (Not asserted: no source locator (reference, URL or publisher), no date, no confidence, no review by a named person.) · Confidence: INSUFFICIENT
    Source: SSIP contradiction register · Date not recorded
    Method: Divergence caused by legal duty exemptions granted to humanitarian agencies, diplomatic missions, and government infrastructure contractors, which are recorded as gross value by SSRA but not cash receipts.
  • Nimule One-Stop Border Post (OSBP) Customs Revenue Clearance — position A — Monthly non-oil customs revenue collected at Nimule border exceeded $14.2M USD equivalent in July 2026.
    Value: 14.2
    Evidence state: DISPUTED (Not asserted: no review by a named person.) · Confidence: HIGH
    Source: South Sudan Revenue Authority (SSRA) Fiscal Bulletin · Publisher: National Revenue Authority · Dated: 2026-08-10
    Method: Fiscal Ministry Report. The source states this figure as: "$14.2M / Month (Official Ledger)".
  • Nimule One-Stop Border Post (OSBP) Customs Revenue Clearance — position B — Outgoing cross-border cargo manifests from Elegu (Uganda) indicate goods value of $48M, implying effective collection rate of under 55% of statutory duties due to exemptions.
    Value: 7.8
    Evidence state: DISPUTED (Not asserted: no review by a named person.) · Confidence: MEDIUM
    Source: Uganda Revenue Authority (URA) & East African Business Council · Publisher: URA Customs Transit Portal / EABC · Dated: 2026-08-16
    Method: Regional Customs Mirror Audit. The source states this figure as: "$7.8M estimated net collected / 55% capture".

How to read this

Every figure on this page carries an evidence state — Verified, Operational, Announced, Estimated, Inferred, Disputed, Simulated, Reference or Unavailable — and each state has a stated definition. SSIP does not present an estimate as an observation, and it does not record a missing value as zero.

Read the methodology · Open the evidence ledger · See declared gaps

Related

Elsewhere in SSIP

All evidence-backed pages · Organisations · Projects · Knowledge graph · Evidence ledger

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Cite, check and correct

Cite as: “Trade, Markets & Supply Chains — Sector evidence”. Strategic Systems Intelligence. https://ssintelligence.online/sectors/trade-markets-supply-chains. Last updated . Carry the evidence state with any figure you quote.

Methodology · Sources · Corrections — if a record here is wrong, the corrections log is where it is fixed in public.